Kehlen vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
14º
4º
84
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kehlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KEH
0 - 3
YBD
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
KEH
2 - 1
JUS
24%
20%
55%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ERP
1 - 3
KEH
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
KEH
0 - 3
FEU
59%
21%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
JUS
3 - 1
KEH
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 7
LOR
7%
14%
79%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
KSI
1 - 1
LOR
3%
7%
90%
|
54 | 12 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
5 - 0
MLI
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 4
LOR
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
BER
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |