Kehlen vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kehlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
RES
2 - 2
KEH
23%
23%
55%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
KEH
2 - 2
FCA
35%
24%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
KEH
0 - 2
RUM
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ORA
2 - 3
KEH
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
KEH
2 - 0
MER
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 4
RAC
15%
18%
67%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
BAS
57%
20%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BWM
2 - 2
LOR
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 2
LOR
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
4 - 2
PRE
84%
10%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |