Kehlen vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kehlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FFN
2 - 4
KEH
72%
18%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
KEH
1 - 3
MER
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -3 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
KEH
1 - 1
DCE
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ATE
0 - 2
KEH
66%
19%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
KEH
4 - 2
FCA
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 5
DCE
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ATE
5 - 2
LOR
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 4
FCA
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
LOR
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MAM
2 - 1
LOR
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |