Keflavik vs Thór analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 0
KEF
31%
23%
46%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
GRI
1 - 1
KEF
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
KEF
3 - 2
THR
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
KEF
3 - 1
FJO
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
KEF
2 - 0
EIN
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Thór
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
FJA
2 - 0
THO
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
THO
0 - 1
LEI
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
THO
3 - 2
VIK
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
THO
3 - 1
VIK
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 0
THO
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |