Keflavik vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1976 |
IAA
4 - 1
KEF
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1976 |
IAA
1 - 2
KEF
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
VIK
2 - 1
KEF
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
KEF
1 - 2
BRE
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
VAL
2 - 0
KEF
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1976 |
BRE
0 - 1
FRA
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1976 |
FRA
1 - 0
THR
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
FRA
2 - 1
FHH
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1976 |
FRA
1 - 2
IAA
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
FRA
1 - 1
IAA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |