Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
16º
9º
23
2º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 70 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 65 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 64 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 62 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 61 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 58 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 57 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 57 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 55 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 55 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 55 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 52 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 50 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 47 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 45 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 42 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 40 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
20º
|
11 | 40 |
18º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 34 |
19º
|
31.5% | |
|
19º
|
11 | 31 |
20º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
2% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
4.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kawasaki Frontale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
GAM
3 - 1
KAW
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
SAG
5 - 2
KAW
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KAW
3 - 0
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 1
KAW
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
KAW
3 - 1
URA
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
AVI
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
CON
45%
24%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
SHO
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 3
KAR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 2
KAA
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |