Katwijk vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GVV
1 - 0
KAT
32%
23%
45%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
KAT
3 - 0
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
KAT
4 - 1
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
UNA
2 - 2
KAT
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
KAT
1 - 0
VVS
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 3
SPA
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
KOZ
4 - 3
SPA
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
SPA
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SPA
5 - 0
TIE
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ALK
5 - 0
SPA
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -3 |