J1 League round 3

Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis

Kashiwa Reysol Shimizu S-Pulse
80 ELO 76
14.5% Tilt 10.6%
436º General ELO ranking 485º
13º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
56.2%
Kashiwa Reysol
22.9%
Draw
20.9%
Shimizu S-Pulse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
Kashiwa Reysol
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.9%
Win probability
Shimizu S-Pulse
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kashiwa Reysol
+8%
-3%
Shimizu S-Pulse

ELO progression

Kashiwa Reysol
Shimizu S-Pulse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2012
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
5 - 1
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
JEO
52%
23%
26%
79 78 1 0
17 Mar. 2012
URA
Urawa Reds
1 - 0
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
32%
26%
42%
79 74 5 0
11 Mar. 2012
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
3 - 3
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
58%
23%
19%
79 76 3 0
07 Mar. 2012
BUR
Buriram United
3 - 2
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
20%
22%
58%
80 62 18 -1
03 Mar. 2012
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
2 - 1
FC Tokyo
FCT
49%
23%
28%
80 79 1 0

Matches

Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 - 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
46%
26%
29%
76 76 0 0
10 Mar. 2012
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
59%
22%
19%
77 81 4 -1
24 Dec. 2011
CER
Cerezo Osaka
2 - 2
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
55%
22%
24%
78 76 2 -1
17 Dec. 2011
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 - 0
JEF United
JEF
69%
19%
12%
77 65 12 +1
03 Dec. 2011
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 3
Gamba Osaka
GAM
29%
24%
48%
78 83 5 -1