J1 League Round 13

Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata analysis

Kashiwa Reysol Albirex Niigata
80 ELO 76
11.2% Tilt 9.8%
427º General ELO ranking 525º
13º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
60.4%
Kashiwa Reysol
22.5%
Draw
17.1%
Albirex Niigata

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
Kashiwa Reysol
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.1%
Win probability
Albirex Niigata
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kashiwa Reysol
+18%
-19%
Albirex Niigata

ELO progression

Kashiwa Reysol
Albirex Niigata
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2014
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 0
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
34%
26%
41%
80 75 5 0
03 May. 2014
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 0
Kashima Antlers
KAA
45%
24%
31%
79 82 3 +1
29 Apr. 2014
GAM
Gamba Osaka
1 - 2
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
42%
24%
34%
79 76 3 0
26 Apr. 2014
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
3 - 2
Urawa Reds
URA
49%
24%
27%
79 78 1 0
19 Apr. 2014
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
0 - 0
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
52%
25%
23%
79 81 2 0

Matches

Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2014
ALB
Albirex Niigata
2 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
44%
26%
30%
76 75 1 0
03 May. 2014
OMI
RB Omiya Ardija
2 - 2
Albirex Niigata
ALB
37%
29%
35%
76 67 9 0
29 Apr. 2014
ALB
Albirex Niigata
1 - 1
Vissel Kobe
VIS
51%
25%
25%
76 72 4 0
26 Apr. 2014
TOK
Tokushima Vortis
1 - 2
Albirex Niigata
ALB
21%
27%
51%
75 56 19 +1
20 Apr. 2014
ALB
Albirex Niigata
0 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
33%
27%
40%
75 81 6 0