Turkish Süper Lig Round 4

Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe analysis

Kasımpaşa Fenerbahçe
76 ELO 86
20.1% Tilt 9.5%
212º General ELO ranking 201º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.7%
Kasımpaşa
24.9%
Draw
46.5%
Fenerbahçe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
Kasımpaşa
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.5%
Win probability
Fenerbahçe
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kasımpaşa
-8%
+30%
Fenerbahçe

ELO progression

Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahçe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2016
IST
İstanbul Başakşehir
3 - 1
Kasımpaşa
KAS
58%
22%
20%
77 81 4 0
27 Aug. 2016
KAS
Kasımpaşa
1 - 1
Adanaspor
ADA
69%
19%
12%
77 67 10 0
20 Aug. 2016
TRA
Trabzonspor
2 - 0
Kasımpaşa
KAS
42%
25%
33%
78 76 2 -1
04 Aug. 2016
KAS
Kasımpaşa
0 - 1
Kayserispor
KAY
61%
21%
19%
78 73 5 0
26 Jul. 2016
LOK
Locomotive Tbilisi
1 - 2
Kasımpaşa
KAS
18%
21%
62%
78 60 18 0

Matches

Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2016
ZOR
Zorya Luhansk
1 - 1
Fenerbahçe
FEN
43%
25%
32%
86 83 3 0
11 Sep. 2016
FEN
Fenerbahçe
0 - 1
Bursaspor
BUR
64%
20%
16%
86 79 7 0
28 Aug. 2016
FEN
Fenerbahçe
3 - 3
Kayserispor
KAY
75%
17%
8%
86 72 14 0
25 Aug. 2016
GCZ
Grasshopper
0 - 2
Fenerbahçe
FEN
30%
26%
45%
86 79 7 0
21 Aug. 2016
IST
İstanbul Başakşehir
1 - 0
Fenerbahçe
FEN
34%
25%
41%
86 81 5 0