FA Kartli 2011 Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA Kartli 2011 Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2013 |
ABU
0 - 3
FKG
16%
22%
63%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
UBT
1 - 1
FKG
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
FKG
4 - 0
TSK
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 1
FKG
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
FKG
8 - 0
PAR
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 12 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
ADU
0 - 3
IBE
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
GAG
3 - 0
ADU
34%
23%
44%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ADU
0 - 3
ALG
83%
11%
5%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
IVE
3 - 0
ADU
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ADU
0 - 3
APK
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | -1 |