2. Liga Round 15

Karlsruher SC vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis

Karlsruher SC Erzgebirge Aue
73 ELO 70
10.2% Tilt 3.9%
233º General ELO ranking 1285º
24º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Karlsruher SC
22.8%
Draw
20.5%
Erzgebirge Aue

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
Karlsruher SC
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Karlsruher SC
+8%
-6%
Erzgebirge Aue

ELO progression

Karlsruher SC
Erzgebirge Aue
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Karlsruher SC
Karlsruher SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2006
UNT
Unterhaching
0 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
29%
28%
43%
74 65 9 0
20 Nov. 2006
KSC
Karlsruher SC
4 - 4
Hansa Rostock
ROS
46%
25%
29%
74 76 2 0
10 Nov. 2006
TUS
TuS Koblenz
1 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
26%
27%
47%
74 62 12 0
07 Nov. 2006
KSC
Karlsruher SC
4 - 1
1860 München
MUN
50%
25%
26%
73 72 1 +1
03 Nov. 2006
KSC
Karlsruher SC
3 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
59%
23%
18%
73 68 5 0

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2006
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
50%
27%
24%
69 66 3 0
19 Nov. 2006
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
0 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
41%
26%
33%
69 66 3 0
12 Nov. 2006
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
5 - 1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
45%
26%
29%
68 64 4 +1
08 Nov. 2006
KOL
Köln
0 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
66%
20%
15%
67 76 9 +1
05 Nov. 2006
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
42%
26%
32%
67 65 2 0