A-Junioren Bundesliga Liga A round 3

Karlsruher SC U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis

Karlsruher SC U19 Mainz 05 U19
37 ELO 35
-3.2% Tilt 0.9%
6790º General ELO ranking 7873º
344º Country ELO ranking 393º
ELO win probability
52.1%
Karlsruher SC U19
21.7%
Draw
26.2%
Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
Karlsruher SC U19
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.2%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Karlsruher SC U19
+23%
+2%
Mainz 05 U19

Points and table prediction

Karlsruher SC U19
Their league position
Mainz 05 U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
11º
14
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
B. Leverkusen U19
23
23
100%
Karlsruher SC U19
22
22
100%
Schalke 04 U19
21
21
94%
VfB Stuttgart U19
19
19
0%
VfL Bochum U19
18
19
0%
B. Dortmund U19
16
19
35.5%
RB Leipzig U19
19
19
0%
Bayern München U19
18
18
22.5%
Werder Bremen U19
18
18
16%
B. Mönchengladbach U19
10º
15
15
10º
52.5%
Wolfsburg U19
12º
14
15
11º
20.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
11º
14
14
12º
0%
Köln U19
14º
14
14
13º
0%
Mainz 05 U19
13º
14
14
14º
0%
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
15º
13
13
15º
54%
 Hamburger SV U19
16º
11
12
16º
34%
Heidenheim U19
17º
10
10
17º
16%
1860 München U19
18º
9
10
18º
16%
Hertha BSC U19
19º
9
9
19º
37%
Hannover 96 U19
20º
7
8
20º
12.5%
Hoffenheim U19
23º
7
8
21º
14%
Union Berlin U19
22º
7
7
22º
41%
Chemnitzer FC U19
21º
7
7
23º
69%
Unterhaching U19
24º
6
6
24º
69%
Expected probabilities
Karlsruher SC U19
Mainz 05 U19
Next round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Karlsruher SC U19
Mainz 05 U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Karlsruher SC U19
Karlsruher SC U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2025
BOR
B. Dortmund U19
1 - 0
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
54%
21%
25%
38 40 2 0
01 Feb. 2025
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
4 - 0
Unterhaching U19
UNT
76%
15%
10%
38 22 16 0
07 Dec. 2024
SMS
Schott Mainz U19
2 - 6
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
25%
22%
54%
37 27 10 +1
30 Nov. 2024
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
2 - 0
FSV Frankfurt U19
FSV
75%
14%
11%
36 20 16 +1
23 Nov. 2024
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
0 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
54%
21%
25%
36 33 3 0

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2025
UNT
Unterhaching U19
1 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
17%
20%
63%
36 22 14 0
02 Feb. 2025
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
5 - 1
Union Berlin U19
UBE
58%
20%
22%
34 31 3 +2
25 Jan. 2025
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 2
Eddersheim
EDD
38%
23%
40%
34 38 4 0
07 Dec. 2024
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
1 - 3
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
45%
22%
33%
33 33 0 +1
01 Dec. 2024
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 1
Schott Mainz U19
SMS
69%
17%
15%
33 26 7 0