Bundesliga Cadete Sud/Sudwest Round 8

Karlsruher SC U17 vs Mainz 05 U17 analysis

Karlsruher SC U17 Mainz 05 U17
19 ELO 26
-19% Tilt -6.6%
8670º General ELO ranking 9166º
430º Country ELO ranking 444º
ELO win probability
16.6%
Karlsruher SC U17
20.3%
Draw
63.1%
Mainz 05 U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
Karlsruher SC U17
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
63.1%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U17
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Karlsruher SC U17
+23%
-9%
Mainz 05 U17

Points and table prediction

Karlsruher SC U17
Their league position
Mainz 05 U17
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
16º
26
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hoffenheim U17
40
40
100%
Stuttgart U17
38
38
100%
Bayern München U17
38
38
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt U17
31
31
100%
Mainz 05 U17
26
26
100%
Karlsruher SC U17
25
25
100%
FC Augsburg U17
24
24
0%
SSV Jahn Regensburg U17
24
24
0%
Nürnberg U17
23
23
100%
SC Freiburg U17
10º
22
22
10º
100%
TSV 1860 München U17
11º
21
21
11º
100%
Darmstadt 98 U17
12º
20
20
12º
100%
Unterhaching U17
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Stuttgarter Kickers U17
14º
12
12
14º
0%
Greuther Fürth U17
15º
12
12
15º
0%
Astoria Walldorf U17
16º
7
7
16º
100%
Saarbrücken U17
17º
5
5
17º
100%
Expected probabilities
Karlsruher SC U17
Mainz 05 U17
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Karlsruher SC U17
Mainz 05 U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Karlsruher SC U17
Karlsruher SC U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2022
HOF
Hoffenheim U17
3 - 1
Karlsruher SC U17
KSC
85%
10%
5%
19 32 13 0
18 Sep. 2022
KSC
Karlsruher SC U17
2 - 0
Unterhaching U17
SVU
21%
23%
56%
18 24 6 +1
10 Sep. 2022
SCF
SC Freiburg U17
0 - 1
Karlsruher SC U17
KSC
71%
17%
12%
17 22 5 +1
03 Sep. 2022
KSC
Karlsruher SC U17
2 - 5
Stuttgarter Kickers U17
STK
53%
24%
23%
18 16 2 -1
28 Aug. 2022
BMC
Bayern München U17
5 - 1
Karlsruher SC U17
KSC
84%
11%
5%
19 30 11 -1

Matches

Mainz 05 U17
Mainz 05 U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2022
M05
Mainz 05 U17
3 - 2
FC Augsburg U17
AUG
60%
20%
20%
26 22 4 0
18 Sep. 2022
FCS
Saarbrücken U17
0 - 5
Mainz 05 U17
M05
11%
16%
73%
25 14 11 +1
11 Sep. 2022
M05
Mainz 05 U17
1 - 0
Astoria Walldorf U17
FAW
88%
8%
4%
25 12 13 0
27 Aug. 2022
HOF
Hoffenheim U17
6 - 2
Mainz 05 U17
M05
65%
18%
17%
26 31 5 -1
20 Aug. 2022
M05
Mainz 05 U17
1 - 0
Unterhaching U17
SVU
57%
21%
22%
26 24 2 0