Kapellen-Erft vs VfL Benrath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MSV
1 - 3
KAP
37%
22%
42%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
KAP
1 - 0
MON
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 1
KAP
23%
20%
58%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
KAP
2 - 0
RAT
55%
20%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
NET
4 - 0
KAP
54%
21%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Benrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VFL
1 - 6
VSA
42%
21%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TSM
3 - 1
VFL
38%
22%
41%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VFL
2 - 3
FCR
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VFL
0 - 2
VJG
39%
21%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MSV
1 - 2
VFL
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |