Ykkösliiga Temporada Regular. Jor. 3

KaPa vs Gnistan analysis

KaPa Gnistan
45 ELO 54
2.1% Tilt -3.4%
4511º General ELO ranking 2212º
32º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
26%
KaPa
24.1%
Draw
49.8%
Gnistan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
KaPa
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.8%
Win probability
Gnistan
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
KaPa
+3%
-8%
Gnistan

Points and table prediction

KaPa
Their league position
Gnistan
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
10º
48
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gnistan
48
48
0%
Ekenäs IF
48
48
0%
Mikkelin Palloilijat
41
41
100%
TPS
40
40
100%
SJK Akatemia
39
39
100%
HIFK
30
30
100%
SalPa
26
26
100%
JaPS
21
21
0%
FF Jaro Pietarsaari
21
21
0%
KaPa
10º
20
20
10º
100%
KPV
11º
15
15
11º
100%
JJK Jyväskylä
12º
12
12
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
KaPa
Gnistan
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

KaPa
Gnistan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

KaPa
KaPa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2023
JAP
JäPS III
1 - 4
KaPa
KAP
9%
14%
77%
46 6 40 0
22 Apr. 2023
FFJ
FF Jaro Pietarsaari
1 - 1
KaPa
KAP
74%
17%
9%
45 59 14 +1
16 Apr. 2023
KAP
KaPa
2 - 0
Mikkelin Palloilijat
MIK
24%
23%
53%
44 51 7 +1
01 Apr. 2023
GNI
Gnistan
2 - 1
KaPa
KAP
66%
19%
15%
44 51 7 0
25 Mar. 2023
KAP
KaPa
3 - 2
JaPS
JAP
28%
22%
50%
44 48 4 0

Matches

Gnistan
Gnistan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2023
VJS
VJS II
1 - 5
Gnistan
GNI
6%
12%
82%
53 16 37 0
21 Apr. 2023
GNI
Gnistan
2 - 0
JJK Jyväskylä
JJK
47%
25%
29%
52 51 1 +1
14 Apr. 2023
HIF
HIFK
0 - 2
Gnistan
GNI
38%
25%
37%
51 48 3 +1
07 Apr. 2023
GNI
Gnistan
2 - 1
Honka Akatemia
HOA
56%
22%
22%
51 48 3 0
01 Apr. 2023
GNI
Gnistan
2 - 1
KaPa
KAP
66%
19%
15%
51 44 7 0
X