KaPa vs Ekenäs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
10º
9º
30
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 58 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 57 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 43 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 33 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 31 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 20 |
9º
|
96% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 10 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KaPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
JAP
2 - 2
KAP
61%
20%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
KAP
0 - 5
GIR
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
FCL
5 - 3
KAP
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
KAP
3 - 1
SAL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
PK3
4 - 0
KAP
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ekenäs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
OLS
0 - 1
EKE
18%
20%
63%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
EKE
0 - 1
FCL
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
TPS
2 - 0
EKE
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
HON
0 - 1
EKE
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
EKE
1 - 1
JIP
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |