KamAZ vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KamAZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
KAM
2 - 1
SAL
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 0
KAM
9%
22%
69%
|
68 | 25 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
VOL
0 - 1
KAM
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
KAM
0 - 0
ALA
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
KAM
3 - 2
NIZ
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
VNN
3 - 0
AVA
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 1
KHI
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
AVA
1 - 2
KUB
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 5
SIB
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
SKA
2 - 1
AVA
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |