Kaluga vs FC Ararat Moscow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 0
KAL
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
KAL
1 - 1
DIN
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
SAT
3 - 3
KAL
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
KAL
66%
22%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
KHI
2 - 1
KAL
22%
22%
57%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FC Ararat Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FCA
1 - 1
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ZVE
2 - 3
FCA
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 2
KHI
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
KHI
2 - 1
FCA
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 1
STR
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |