Poland Third Division Normal Season Round 9

Kalisz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice analysis

Kalisz Chojniczanka Chojnice
64 ELO 58
10.3% Tilt -2.6%
1608º General ELO ranking 1174º
41º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
63.3%
Kalisz
20.9%
Draw
15.8%
Chojniczanka Chojnice

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
Kalisz
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
Chojniczanka Chojnice
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kalisz
-11%
+4%
Chojniczanka Chojnice

Points and table prediction

Kalisz
Their league position
Chojniczanka Chojnice
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
16º
54
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pogon Siedlce
58
58
100%
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
56
56
100%
Kalisz
55
55
100%
Stal Stalowa Wola
54
54
0%
Chojniczanka Chojnice
54
54
0%
TS Polonia Bytom
53
53
100%
Radunia Stężyca
50
50
100%
Hutnik Krakow
49
49
100%
Zagłębie Lubin II
46
46
100%
LKS Lodz II
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Jastrzębie
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Wisla Pulawy
12º
41
41
12º
100%
SKRA Częstochowa
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Olimpia Grudziadz
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Olimpia Elblag
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Lech Poznań II
16º
39
39
16º
100%
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
17º
35
35
17º
100%
Stomil Olsztyn
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kalisz
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kalisz
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kalisz
Kalisz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2023
STO
Stomil Olsztyn
0 - 3
Kalisz
KAL
44%
27%
30%
64 64 0 0
02 Sep. 2023
KAL
Kalisz
1 - 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
STA
72%
18%
10%
63 52 11 +1
27 Aug. 2023
LKS
LKS Lodz II
3 - 0
Kalisz
KAL
34%
28%
39%
64 55 9 -1
19 Aug. 2023
KAL
Kalisz
1 - 0
Wisla Pulawy
WIS
47%
25%
28%
63 63 0 +1
12 Aug. 2023
POG
Pogon Siedlce
0 - 2
Kalisz
KAL
39%
28%
33%
62 61 1 +1

Matches

Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2023
CHO
Chojniczanka Chojnice
0 - 0
SKRA Częstochowa
SKR
53%
25%
22%
57 55 2 0
03 Sep. 2023
STO
Stomil Olsztyn
2 - 1
Chojniczanka Chojnice
CHO
54%
25%
21%
57 63 6 0
26 Aug. 2023
CHO
Chojniczanka Chojnice
1 - 1
Olimpia Grudziadz
OLI
34%
26%
39%
57 61 4 0
19 Aug. 2023
STA
Stal Stalowa Wola
5 - 2
Chojniczanka Chojnice
CHO
26%
26%
48%
58 50 8 -1
12 Aug. 2023
CHO
Chojniczanka Chojnice
1 - 1
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
KOT
36%
26%
38%
58 60 2 0