Kaliakra vs Svilengrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NES
1 - 1
KAL
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
KAL
2 - 0
SVE
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 2
KAL
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
PAN
1 - 0
KAL
24%
29%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
KAL
1 - 0
LYU
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SVE
2 - 1
SVI
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LYU
2 - 1
SVI
63%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SVI
1 - 0
CHE
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MIN
2 - 1
SVI
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SVI
2 - 1
DOB
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |