Kaiserslautern II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
KAI
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
KAI
0 - 2
BOR
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
AUX
2 - 1
KAI
75%
18%
7%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
FSV
0 - 3
KAI
18%
21%
61%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
KAI
3 - 0
PRE
39%
29%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 0
WUP
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 1
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 3
KÖL
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
KÖL
2 - 0
WHE
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 2
KÖL
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |