Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PSP
3 - 1
KLM
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 7
BEN
41%
21%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CPK
5 - 0
KLM
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 5
WAK
40%
20%
39%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
KLM
3 - 1
CDT
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 0
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MCA
8 - 0
PSP
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MCA
2 - 3
CPK
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
CPK
3 - 1
MCA
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |