Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
48.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
KLM
0 - 8
BEN
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
KLM
0 - 6
PSP
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CPK
0 - 0
KLM
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LAI
5 - 0
KLM
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
WAK
4 - 1
KLM
77%
13%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 3
MCA
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MCA
2 - 2
WAK
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MCA
1 - 1
BEN
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MCA
4 - 0
PSP
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MCA
2 - 5
SMA
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |