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Tanzania League. Matchday 14

Kagera Sugar vs Coastal Union analysis

Kagera Sugar Coastal Union
16 ELO 14
-54% Tilt -55%
6098º General ELO ranking 6735º
12º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
33.7%
Kagera Sugar
43.6%
Draw
22.7%
Coastal Union

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
Kagera Sugar
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
21.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.2%
+1
24.4%
43.6%
Draw
0-0
33%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
43.6%
22.7%
Win probability
Coastal Union
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kagera Sugar
-29%
-42%
Coastal Union

Points and table prediction

Kagera Sugar
Their league position
Coastal Union
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
15º
28
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Young Africans
60
73
100%
Simba SC
49
59
100%
Geita Gold
34
42
19%
Namungo
33
44
18%
Azam FC
32
45
16%
Mbeya City
32
40
14%
Kagera Sugar
32
41
15%
KMC
28
36
9%
Mtibwa Sugar
28
33
13º
10%
Coastal Union
10º
28
34
11º
10%
Dodoma
11º
28
35
10%
AS Polisi
12º
27
34
10º
10%
Ruvu Shooting
13º
26
34
12º
9%
Biashara United
14º
23
30
15º
15%
Tanzania Prisons
15º
23
29
16º
22%
Mbeya Kwanza
16º
21
30
14º
19%
Expected probabilities
Kagera Sugar
Coastal Union
Champion
0% 0%
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
13% 1%
Mid-table
79% 70%
Relegation playoffs
6% 16%
Relegation
2% 13%

ELO progression

Kagera Sugar
KAG
Coastal Union
COA
AS Polisi
POL
Geita Gold
GGF
Namungo
NAM
KMC
KMC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kagera Sugar
Kagera Sugar
1%
X%
2%
ELO KAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2022
KAG
Kagera Sugar
1 - 0
Simba SC
SIM
45%
27%
28%
226 313 -87 0
21 Jan. 2022
DJF
Dodoma
1 - 2
Kagera Sugar
KAG
45%
27%
28%
227 249 22 +1
15 Jan. 2022
BUM
Biashara United
3 - 3
Kagera Sugar
KAG
47%
27%
26%
225 250 25 0
26 Dec. 2021
KAG
Kagera Sugar
0 - 1
Tanzania Prisons
TAN
45%
27%
28%
225 222 3 -1
22 Dec. 2021
KAG
Kagera Sugar
0 - 2
Mbeya Kwanza
MKF
46%
27%
27%
227 247 -20 -2

Matches

Coastal Union
Coastal Union
1%
X%
2%
ELO COA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2022
COA
Coastal Union
1 - 3
Namungo
NAM
45%
27%
28%
201 251 -50 -2
16 Jan. 2022
COA
Coastal Union
0 - 2
Young Africans
YOU
40%
28%
32%
203 411 -208 -2
28 Dec. 2021
COA
Coastal Union
0 - 1
Mtibwa Sugar
MTI
45%
27%
28%
206 249 -43 -1
24 Dec. 2021
COA
Coastal Union
3 - 2
Mbeya City
MBE
45%
27%
28%
205 244 -39 +1
20 Dec. 2021
BUM
Biashara United
0 - 1
Coastal Union
COA
47%
27%
26%
204 249 45 +1