Kagera Sugar vs Alliance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
0 - 0
BUM
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 1
MWA
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
3 - 0
SUT
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
YOU
0 - 3
KAG
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
POL
2 - 1
KAG
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
MBA
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
NAM
1 - 1
AFC
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NDA
1 - 0
AFC
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 4
SIM
13%
25%
62%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 1
JKT
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |