Kaan-Marienborn vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
81.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaan-Marienborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
KMA
2 - 1
BOR
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
KMA
5 - 0
ERN
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
KMA
2 - 0
ABC
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MEU
3 - 1
KMA
32%
25%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
STE
4 - 0
KMA
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 0
SGF
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
STP
3 - 2
FCN
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 1
SCH
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
FCN
3 - 5
ARS
6%
18%
77%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 0
FCN
60%
20%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |