UEFA Intertoto Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
KAA Gent vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
ZLI
0 - 0
GEN
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
ZLI
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
GEN
3 - 1
BOH
50%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
BOH
1 - 0
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
KVC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
VCF
1 - 0
OSA
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
LEV
0 - 0
VCF
23%
28%
49%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 2
VCF
40%
27%
33%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
VCF
0 - 2
FCB
39%
26%
35%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 1
VCF
19%
27%
53%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | -1 |