KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 7
ROM
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CER
1 - 3
GEN
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
ROM
3 - 1
GEN
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 0
NAF
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
NAF
2 - 1
GEN
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
KVM
4 - 1
KVC
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
GNK
2 - 0
KVM
55%
21%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
KVM
3 - 0
LOK
48%
26%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
3 - 1
KVM
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
KVM
2 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |