Cup . Semi-finals
Global 4-4
KAA Gent vs KV Oostende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 0
AND
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
GEN
6 - 1
HOL
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
GNK
3 - 1
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
GEN
4 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
STR
1 - 3
GEN
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
KV Oostende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MOU
2 - 1
OOS
22%
25%
54%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 2
OOS
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
OOS
1 - 1
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SDL
3 - 1
OOS
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
EUP
0 - 1
OOS
32%
23%
46%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |