KAA Gent vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SDL
2 - 1
GEN
59%
22%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
GEN
1 - 1
KVK
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
CER
3 - 1
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GEN
4 - 0
KSV
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GEN
2 - 3
GNK
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
EXC
5 - 1
BRU
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ZUL
2 - 1
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
3 - 0
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 0
LOK
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SDL
3 - 1
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |