Juventus SC vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
CRI
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
JUV
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 0
JUV
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 3
BRU
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
FFL
1 - 4
JUV
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 3
ECP
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 1
HER
74%
17%
8%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
ECP
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ECP
0 - 0
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |