Juventus Malchika vs Gorna Lokomotiv Oryahovitsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
81.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.9%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
14º
13º
73
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 65 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 47 |
6º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 32 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 26 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 26 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 22 |
14º
|
64.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 17 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus Malchika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ETR
3 - 0
JUV
65%
17%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 0
ABV
47%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BTL
5 - 2
JUV
50%
20%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 2
PAV
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SEV
1 - 2
JUV
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Gorna Lokomotiv Oryahovitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
FKD
87%
9%
3%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
YPT
1 - 4
LOK
14%
19%
67%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
7 - 0
PAR
89%
9%
3%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIH
1 - 2
LOK
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
LOK
83%
12%
6%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |