Juventud Alianza vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ACJ
1 - 3
JUV
10%
18%
72%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 2
JUV
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
TRI
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
JUV
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -4 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
ATE
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DES
2 - 1
TRI
80%
13%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
DES
0 - 1
IND
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATE
2 - 2
DES
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
DES
0 - 4
SPE
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -3 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
DES
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | -1 |