Junior vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
JUN
3 - 0
ONC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 1
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ONC
3 - 3
JUN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
JUN
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
JUN
3 - 3
HUI
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 1
TFC
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 1
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
ENV
1 - 1
JAG
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
JAG
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 0
MIL
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |