Apertura Colombia Round 5

Junior vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis

Junior Cúcuta Deportivo
79 ELO 73
14.3% Tilt -11.8%
571º General ELO ranking 688º
11º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
68.3%
Junior
19.2%
Draw
12.5%
Cúcuta Deportivo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
Junior
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.4%
Win probability
Cúcuta Deportivo
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Junior
-3%
-6%
Cúcuta Deportivo

ELO progression

Junior
Cúcuta Deportivo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Junior
Junior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2013
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 0
Junior
JUN
50%
26%
24%
80 80 0 0
16 Feb. 2013
JUN
Junior
2 - 2
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
63%
21%
17%
80 74 6 0
13 Feb. 2013
UNI
Uniautónoma
1 - 1
Junior
JUN
32%
26%
43%
80 67 13 0
10 Feb. 2013
ONC
Once Caldas
2 - 1
Junior
JUN
57%
23%
19%
80 82 2 0
03 Feb. 2013
JUN
Junior
4 - 0
Envigado
ENV
66%
20%
14%
80 72 8 0

Matches

Cúcuta Deportivo
Cúcuta Deportivo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2013
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
0 - 0
Deportivo Cali
CAL
30%
30%
41%
71 82 11 0
16 Feb. 2013
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
1 - 3
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
42%
28%
30%
71 67 4 0
13 Feb. 2013
CHI
Boyacá Chicó
1 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
55%
24%
21%
71 74 3 0
11 Feb. 2013
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
2 - 0
Deportes Quindío
QUI
43%
27%
29%
70 71 1 +1
04 Feb. 2013
AGU
Águilas Doradas
0 - 0
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
62%
23%
15%
70 78 8 0