Junior vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
AME
2 - 2
JUN
32%
29%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 2
JUN
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 0
JUN
35%
30%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
SFE
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
SRP
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 2
JUN
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 0
ALI
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SPC
3 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |