Juan XXIII vs Olo A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 4
JUA
26%
22%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JUA
3 - 1
CCT
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PNU
2 - 2
JUA
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JUA
4 - 1
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MSF
3 - 3
JUA
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olo A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
OLO
1 - 5
PNU
24%
22%
55%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OLO
0 - 7
CAL
26%
22%
52%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MON
4 - 1
OLO
43%
23%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OLO
3 - 2
MSF
33%
23%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EFB
6 - 1
OLO
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |