Peru Second Division Semi-finals
Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
AUR
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 1
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AUR
6 - 3
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
AUR
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AUR
5 - 0
ALF
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 3
VAL
12%
21%
67%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 0
SPO
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 4
VAL
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
5 - 0
ALF
86%
11%
4%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |