Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 3
AUR
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 0
HUA
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 2
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
BOC
47%
26%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
4 - 1
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
AYA
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 2
MUN
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 2
ALI
36%
28%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |