Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 1
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 2
GAR
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
AUR
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 3
MUN
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 3
AUR
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 1
AYA
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 0
ALI
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 4
SPC
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |