JS Saoura vs NC Magra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
16º
4º
31
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
79.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
45.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Saoura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
EBA
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
USB
2 - 1
SAO
28%
30%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 2
SET
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
OAK
2 - 1
SAO
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
USK
65%
20%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
NC Magra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
USK
1 - 0
NCM
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
NCM
1 - 0
BEL
30%
30%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EBA
4 - 0
NCM
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 2
USB
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
SET
0 - 0
NCM
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |