JS Hercules vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GBK
0 - 0
HER
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
HER
9 - 0
STC
81%
12%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
HER
1 - 4
VIR
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ACK
3 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MUS
3 - 0
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
NAR
4 - 1
VIR
92%
5%
2%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ACK
4 - 0
NAR
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 3
MUS
32%
24%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
VIF
0 - 2
NAR
64%
20%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
OPS
3 - 0
NAR
74%
16%
9%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |