Joy vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LMP
1 - 0
JOY
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
JOY
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NYE
1 - 1
JOY
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JOY
1 - 0
LIK
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAT
1 - 2
JOY
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 0
LIK
50%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAT
0 - 2
LIO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 2
BAN
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LIO
2 - 0
QOA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 0
LIO
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |