Jorge Newbery VM vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 1
NEW
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
ALI
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SBF
1 - 1
NEW
13%
19%
69%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 0
NEW
76%
16%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 0
PAC
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 1
HUR
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAA
24%
23%
54%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAA
0 - 0
EST
26%
25%
48%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 0
SBF
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATE
0 - 0
CAA
13%
18%
69%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | -1 |