Jong Ajax vs Jong Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
JON
24%
24%
53%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
JON
6 - 0
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 2
JON
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
JON
5 - 0
ADO
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 5
JON
13%
21%
67%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 2
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 7
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -3 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
SPA
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 3
GRO
35%
24%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
ADO
2 - 2
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |