Eerste Divisie round 30

Jong Ajax vs Jong PSV analysis

Jong Ajax Jong PSV
67 ELO 61
19.3% Tilt 36.4%
1892º General ELO ranking 2367º
42º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
55.2%
Jong Ajax
21.8%
Draw
23%
Jong PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
Jong Ajax
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23%
Win probability
Jong PSV
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jong Ajax
-16%
-22%
Jong PSV

Points and table prediction

Jong Ajax
Their league position
Jong PSV
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
14º
20º
15º
40
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Willem II
79
79
100%
Groningen
75
75
100%
Roda JC
75
75
100%
Dordrecht
69
69
100%
ADO Den Haag
63
63
0%
De Graafschap
63
63
0%
Emmen
57
57
100%
NAC Breda
56
56
0%
MVV Maastricht
56
56
100%
Jong AZ
10º
56
56
10º
0%
Helmond Sport
11º
51
51
11º
100%
VVV Venlo
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Cambuur
13º
47
47
13º
100%
FC Eindhoven
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Jong Ajax
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Jong PSV
16º
40
40
16º
100%
SC Telstar
17º
35
35
17º
100%
TOP Oss
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Jong Ajax
Jong PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong Ajax
Jong Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2024
GRA
De Graafschap
0 - 2
Jong Ajax
JON
50%
24%
26%
65 73 8 0
08 Mar. 2024
JON
Jong Ajax
0 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
30%
24%
47%
66 73 7 -1
01 Mar. 2024
ADO
ADO Den Haag
2 - 1
Jong Ajax
JON
59%
21%
20%
66 75 9 0
26 Feb. 2024
JON
Jong Ajax
0 - 3
SC Telstar
TEL
71%
18%
11%
67 57 10 -1
16 Feb. 2024
FCO
TOP Oss
2 - 1
Jong Ajax
JON
13%
19%
68%
67 54 13 0

Matches

Jong PSV
Jong PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2024
PSV
Jong PSV
2 - 3
Groningen
GRO
20%
24%
56%
62 76 14 0
08 Mar. 2024
ALK
Jong AZ
4 - 1
Jong PSV
PSV
46%
24%
30%
63 65 2 -1
04 Mar. 2024
PSV
Jong PSV
3 - 1
Cambuur
BVO
21%
23%
56%
61 72 11 +2
26 Feb. 2024
PSV
Jong PSV
0 - 1
Dordrecht
FCD
37%
25%
38%
61 64 3 0
19 Feb. 2024
MVV
MVV Maastricht
3 - 3
Jong PSV
PSV
47%
24%
29%
61 64 3 0