Joe Public FC vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
SEN
0 - 2
JOE
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
JOE
3 - 3
DEF
45%
25%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 3
JOE
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
1 - 2
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
0 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
ANN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
PRI
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
SEN
1 - 1
CON
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |