Joe Public FC vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
JOE
3 - 0
TBU
68%
19%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 0
JOE
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
JOE
3 - 1
UPT
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 2
JOE
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
JOE
0 - 3
ANN
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
PAU
0 - 5
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 2
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
CON
2 - 2
ANN
50%
24%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
CON
0 - 2
NOR
64%
20%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |