Joe Public FC vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 0
JOE
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
UPT
0 - 1
JOE
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
JOE
3 - 0
ANN
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
ANN
1 - 3
JOE
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2007 |
JOE
1 - 0
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2007 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 2
CON
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
CON
1 - 2
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
CAL
0 - 0
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2007 |
UPT
0 - 2
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |